THE
HORNET NEST
& THE DOMINOS
What
are going to be the consequences and unrest in a number of countries
after the first American military action even if small?
This is not a rhetorical question, the sooner we assess the
changes that will happen in countries with a majority of the population
or even a minority of the population with different nuances of the
Muslim faith, the better the American nation will be able to cope
with the consequences.
For
a neutral Political Science observer the period of months and years
that is going to follow the first American strike will be the most
interesting in history since world war 2. Why?
It
is going to be like a kick in a hornet nest that will trigger a
succession of changes like Dominoes toppling one atop of the other
and many civil wars.
The comparison with a hornets nest is striking:
When someone wants to get rid of an hornet nest, this person
make sure that all the hornets are together before he gas them.
If half of the hornet are not in the bag and the handler does not
wear a protective suit without an opening then he is going to be
hurt.'
Same situation with the terrorists; It is impossible to bag
all of them in one operation.
There will be other attacks and the weak part of the suit is
the civilian population around the world that is going to be hurt
and unstable Governments that will be toppled.
Let's take three examples of three Muslim nations: Saudi Arabia
and Algeria and Jordan .
Saudi Arabia is the Sacred land of Muslim faith.
The Kings and princes in place bought a relative peace by letting
the Telebans and Ben Laden preach their dangerous fanatic faith
and let them increase their influence among the people
Now that the Saudi leaders have chosen to be against Ben Laden
and his followers there will be assassination attempts, bombings,
major unrest and may be a coup. The price of oil will skyrocket
at each attempt.
The results could go any of these very different two ways;
1) Overthrow of the ruling class
2) Quasi eradication of the Fanatics Muslims
Jordan is one of the most western oriented nation thanks to its
ruler King Abdullah
Unfortunately King Abdullah is almost already a Dead man.Assassination
attempt are going to be constant and numerous and his chances of
survivals are very small.
A civil war is the most likely outcome.
Algerian
People mostly intellectuals, scholars, educated people all civilians
have
been assassinated in drove for the last five years by their
countrymen
the Fundamentalists Muslims. 20 times the number of the Americans
Killed in the World trade Center , more than 60 000 people have
been assassinated in the last five years.
There
is going to be major unrest and the government will be toppled or
will overcome the challenge and eliminate the threat of the fundamentalist
Muslim.
I barely scratched the surface and I only gave 3 examples that I
did not develop
The point is : following the State of the affairs in more than 60
Muslims countries or countries with minorities with good intelligence
is very important but increasing support for the moderate
leaders of these countries is absolutely Crucial.
Withdrawing from a region because The US government judge that
the conflicts are internals after you have kicked the hornet nest
will be a major error.
Monitoring
the changes that happen in every Muslim country could be a vital
and interesting task for students or people interested in Politic
around the World.
BACK TO INDEX
------------------------------------------
TERRORISM-09/11/01
WORLD TRADE CENTER
This
Horrendous attack on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon have
presented the American People and the American Government with a
new untested and unprecedented challenge. The question is the Following.
What
are the actions at any level; Military,Diplomatic,Economic, Cultural
Educational that will stop men, some with wives and children
to consider that dying while killing
many innocent people is a better alternative than living , raising
a family and helping your fellows human being?
I
will try to lay out the elements that are necessary to comprehend
the situation .
THE
CAUSES
You
need a Bonding Ideology; Nazism, Communism, Religion:
The label of the Ideology is Irrelevant But hey have the same
ingredients
The most important is Directing
hate towards a group of human being;
Jews for Nazism
Religious and non Communist people for Communism
Infidels , non Islamic (including some Islamic with tolerant
faith)
This
Ideology must promise a Heaven:
Communism
offered Heaven on earth when the whole planet would
be Communist
Nazis promised a blissful 1000 years Reich when
all non Arian would be killed.
Islamic Fanatic promise Paradise for those
who kills Infidels specifically American now and Sainthood
for those who die in the process.
In
most cases Despair caused by the absence of a meaningful
life or even a bearable life is the absolute necessary ingredient
to recruit Fanatics and Terrorists. For example ordinary German
people took to Nazism because the economy was in chaos, getting
worse with no hope in the horizon.
However Despair does not seem to be the most
important cause in being the Breeding ground for this Islamic terrorism:
Actually the USA helped these terrorists in their fight against
Russia, Furthermore they are not fighting to free a country or a
People.
They fight on an Ideology based on pure Hate.
Basically trying to kill as many human being as they can of a different
religion than their .
They are not making any claim or asking anything contrary
to the Palestinian who claim for a Country of their own.They want
to kill infidels,period.
Then you need a LEADER . Hitler,
Stalin, Ben Laden:
The leader is skillful, absolutely ruthless and the word Democracy
has absolutely no meaning to them.
Educational:
The Terrorist leaders including Stalin and Hitler and the
Japanese Leaders which are the Ultimate Terrorists have all created
schools for young and very young people to be brain washed and trained
them to be absolutely dedicated to blindly obey their terrorist
leaders.
Cultural:
The most important fact and the most original for this
recent type of terrorist is that their values are the values of
the Middle ages in Europe.
The Islamic terrorists keep their wife at home, veiled,
without education, they repeat the slogan: war to the infidels.The
Islamic terrorists live culturally the equivalent of
the conquest of Southern Europe by Islamic hordes from around 700AD.
At this time Barbarian conduct was the nec plus ultra the best
thing to do on any side
The difference is that the rest of the world lives or try to
live with the values of the 21 century.
In our society women can go out, do not have to wear a veil
etc... We help other countries we provide humanitarian relief, we
try to end Genocide.We try to solve differences in court. All that
is a sign of weakness and decadence for the Islamic terrorists
In
one sentence
The fundamentalists Muslims live in the barbarian world
of the 7 Th Century
A
discrepancy in wealth: All the terrorist these days are
recruited in countries which medium income per habitant is counted
in hundred of dollars per year compared to in the USA in the ten
of thousands of dollars per year
Easy
access to weapons and money: To get weapons or build an
attack that involves travel to different countries,probably 50persons
directly involved, flying lessons etc... You need a lot of money
On other terrorists attacks we have seen explosives, weapons
etc.
The estimates are in millions of Dollars.
However Bin Laden fortune was estimated at 300 millions dollars
and donations from individuals and countries sympathizers seems
to be increasing in an important way. Money is abundant .
Safe
Heavens: Terrorist need bases to train, recoup and get
their support and logistic from.
When Yasser Arrafat was the most effective terrorist on the
planet, he trained his troop in Tunisia , Libya, Syria and other
Arab countries at different times and as of today some of his associate
are still running training camps in some of these countries.
Today
Ben Laden has help, terrorist cells and sometime training camps
in Many countries and sometime the sympathy and direct help of the
government or a moderate but weak government that prefers to compromise
with the terrorist in order that they can stay in power: Afghanistan,Pakistan,
Iran, Libya, Tchetchenie, ouzbekistan, Yemen, Sudan, Algeria and
many other: Basically it should be defined differently in the following
way: All Islamic countries are helping the terrorists with the exemption
of very few such as Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait , Saudi Arabia. Even these
countries are penetrated by the fanatic terrorists, the terrorists
raise money and are trying to assassinate the head of the state
with the Blessing of a good part of the young population.
In the previous parts we have listed what are the elements and the
recipe for a strong efficient and deadly Terrorist multifaceted
monster to succeed.
This
rapid overview of the situation of terrorism in the world shows
that the United State adversary is over 15 countries and over I
billion potential terrorists.
How do you address this
almost impossible challenge.
That is the subject of following sections.
EFFECTS
Unfortunately
the Effects are all to clear: Assassination and murder by bombing,
suicide bombing of UNARMED HUMAN BEING.
One of the constant element of the The Bin Laden terrorist
attacks is the use of human lives to further its goals.
We
have to remember the civilian planes that destroyed the World Trade
Center and part of the Pentagon. These planes were full of passengers
that become hostages, then human projectiles. It is atrocious.
I
am pointing these examples to underline that their is no limit in
the horror anymore and the terrorists are not insane: hate and cruelty
are their tools of the trade.
The next step for the terrorists is to strike a bigger blow:
Nuclear weapons or biological weapons probably brought in the country
by ship. Security around docks and ships is nonexistant and we have
not seen the Administration address the problem efficiently.
Bottom
line: The administration should prepare for the different
WAYS of importing death in the USA and not only address the current
threats.
THE
SOLUTIONS
To define the Strategy necessary to overcome Terrorism
is extremely challenging
I will spend little or no time on what has been largely commented
upon by the media and try to focus on less commented upon areas
but specifically I will try to give an order of importance starting
with the most important actions beside improving Safety
in the USA which is already starting.
With
this terrorist situation the most important action is to
go and capture the Leaders or kill them in a war.The major mistake
made by a Democracy while fighting a dictatorship or a terrorist
organization is not to destroy the Leaders.
History tell us that we would have avoided
millions of deaths if we had killed: Hitler, Stalin, Sadam
Hussein, and now Bin Laden.
The enormous strength of Democracy is not used at all:
In that case what makes Democracy so remarkable in opposition
to terrorism and terrorist States?
It is the fact that our Leaders are elected and that there
is a chain of elected leaders
that can replace the President in case of assassination. Even if
the four elected leaders that can replace the President overnight
are killed we can elect with our freedom of vote another number
of leaders all Highly educated and elected by the majority of the
people.
But if not only one leader but the small group of terrorist
Leaders and Leaders of Terrorist States are Imprisoned or destroyed,
then you will have severed the head of terrorism and Highly trained,
rich and educated people such as Bin Laden are scarce
Equally important if not may be more: You
have to accompany the destruction of the Terrorist themselves by
the physical destruction of the head of Terrorist States and Terrorists
Heavens.
The latter being a lot more attached to their lives will hear
a good warning in
the form of the bombing of their capital with mission to take
them out.
As soon as the Heads of terrorist States will see by
example that the rules have changed and their lives are not immune
to USA attacks then we will see very very few States cooperating
with Terrorists.
I personally never understood the economic sanctions that starve
the very People that most of the time want us no harm while the
Leaders live in wealth or impunity .
Will the USA and their allied use this wonderful fabric that
is Democracy and by opposition destroy the Heads of terrorism and
the Heads of Terrorists States
HARD TO SAY BUT IT IS THE ONLY EFFICIENT WAY OF DEALING WITH
TERRORISM.
Before
the strikes a plan to bring moderate leaders with a vision
of Islam attuned to its origin as a compassionate religion and a
Marshall plan-like to these countries must be ready to
help the People become our allied
It
is excessively important that a less destructive form of their religion
be offered to the young Terrorists or to the population attracted
by fanatism and terrorism.
As the riots around world Trade organization meeting have shown,
materialism is not enough and pleases only those in rich countries
who can buy 2 cars and 3 Stereos.
ORIGINALY ISLAM is a compassionate religion and the majority
of Muslims believe in a tolerant religion.
DEMOCRACY, the fundamentals of
Democracy or the culture of Democracy is the only interesting philosophy
that can replace a philosophy of hate.
It is going to be a very very long process( most of the terrorists
live with the values of the 7 Th Century) but once they see
what it means to live with so many freedoms and with a minimum of
decent standard of living then you have alleviated the possibility
of terrorism in this country.
The renewal of interest in Democracy values
strengthen the attacked countries too.
These common shared beliefs so dearly attained and so little
studied among the young people of the civilized world unite a country
above religious differences and give the Nation enormous strength.
THE
GOVERNMENT SHOULD STAY FOCUSED ON FOUR ACTIONS BESIDE REINFORCING
INTERNAL SECURITY
1)Bring
to justice, Destroy or kill the heads and only the heads of the
States that help terrorism
2)Bring to Justice, Destroy or kill the heads and only the
heads of terrorism around the world
3)Reinforce and help government that promote a genuine and
moderate Islam
4)Reacquaint the World and the young people of the USA with
the History and values of Democracy
ALTHOUGH
THE CHALLENGE IS DIFFICULT I DO NOT HAVE THE SLIGHTEST DOUBT THAT
THE PEOPLE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA WILL OVERCOME IT
BACK
TO INDEX
------------------------------------
THE
2001 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Not a victory for Democracy and that point is developed in the article
called The 2001 elections & the Supreme Court.
Beside that very important matter a very boring campaign
from the two candidates.
What was striking was how absent keeping Democracy in the
USA an aspiration to be proud of and at the same time how little
was discussed about the need to strengthen Democracy.
No
vision of the planet earth going towards Democracy and Human rights
and achieving it.
This
Topics about Democracy and Human rights were addressed in the Primary
by the 2 opponents to the final candidates for President.
That is why the contenders John McCain and Bill Bradley
had passionate supporters.
All
said and done it was a very uninspiring election, which showed due
to the illegal intervention of the USA Supreme court a blow to Democracy
and two mediocre candidates.
Back
to index
----------------------------------
PRESIDENT CLINTON
A BLACK PRESIDENT
?
It is interesting to study why some presidents
generated so much hatred:
Among the most famous:
ABRAHAM
LINCOLN
FRANKLIN
ROOSEVELT
WILLIAM
JEFFERSON (BILL) CLINTON
First
we have to add a precision; two presidents were of the Democratic
party, one, Abraham Lincoln was of the Republican Party, but today's
readers and students must not be fooled by labels. Abraham Lincoln
was anti slavery and was the first president to abolish slavery
in the United States, and today's, the pro-racist stance of the
leader of the Republican Party is evidently in opposition with ABRAHAM
LINCOLN'S strong position as an anti slavery, anti racist
leader. . At this time, in general, all slaves were black. The anti
abolitionists thought that Blacks or Nigers as they were called
were so stupid that they could only be slaves.
A footnote to emphasize the important role played in the domain
of anti racism by Eleanor Roosevelt, the First Lady who did not
allow the President to forget about these issues, even when he was
the leader of the free world engaged in the most formidable war
of all times; World War II.
These
three Presidents share two major traits that defined their actions
1) They fought to establish a society where all citizens had equal
rights, no matter how under privileged they were,
and the most under privileged were the blacks and colored people
and the very poor, no matter what their skin color was.
2)They were strong supporter's of the American Ideal of Democracy,
which is, "The government of the people, by the people,
and not the government of the people by a few privileged
ones".
The Question is then:
WHY PRESIDENTS WHO CARE THE MOST ABOUT THE UNDERPRIVILEGED
AMERICAN CITIZENS, AND THE RESPECT OF THE PRINCIPLE OF THE GOVERNMENT
OF THE PEOPLE, BY THE PEOPLE, ACHIEVE TO DRAW ON THEM SUCH HATRED?
THE EVIL OF ALL EVILS
ABRAHAM LINCOLN was not assassinated by a deranged man, but by a
man sound in mind and spirit who wanted to kill the man who abolished
slavery.
There is no higher mark of hatred than assassination. President
Lincoln was fiercely hated by an enormous number of people, the
vast majority of them absolute racists.
As
a footnote, try to imagine what would be The USA today if the slave-racist
States of the South had won the war. No other country allows slavery
today.
How insolated the USA would be.
Slave states were mostly agricultural and would fair poorly
in the industrial world which is the Strength of the USA.
Imagine denying the use of the internet today to Blacks, Latinos
and Asian Americans. It seems absurd, but it is logical if the forces
of Racism had won over ABRAHAM LINCOLN.
Never
forget that Hitler's Nazi regime had the same racist goals that
the confederate states, and that Hitler left the Olympic Stadium
after the American Black Champion, Jesse
Owens won many competitions.
More importantly, the racist regime of Adolph Hitler Slaughtered
millions of people on behalf of the pure white race.
Unfortunately today, Hitler's murderous racist credo has many
admirers, including an American candidate for the Presidency who
was an important member of the Republican party, Pat Buchanan.
Franklin Roosevelt was probably the President that generated
the strongest hate of all Presidents from
a small number of Americans, mostly the Priviledged ones.
The reason is, that he decided that no matter what, that he was
going to help the poor in the great depression. He also took
a series of actions to vastly improve the right of the black people.
Bill Clinton is probably the first President to have a word coined
by the Press to describe his opponent: Clinton Haters.
He was also named by the leaders of the black community: The
first black President. His action at the helm of
the nation can be summarized by: I will give access to the
underprivileged, the minorities to good health care and good education
and access to the American Dream.
We can see now that the haters of these three great Presidents have
a similar pattern; they are racist people or priviledged people,
or both.They are Political leaders of a racist priviledged
class, who opposes with physical or verbal violence the development
of Democracy and constitute a segment of the nation that wants a
dictatorship to their benefit.
BACK
TO INDEX
------------------------
THE GOOD PRESIDENT AND THE GOOD VICE PRESIDENT
The only team capable of rescuing the USA from the Abyss it has
been pushed into by President Bush is composed of:
President: Nancy Pelosi, Vice President Colin Powell
or
President Colin Powell, Vice President Nancy Pelosi
Make no mistakes the situation in the world and specifically in
the middle east which includes Iran and Iraq and the horn of Africa
is so volatile that there is going to be a war or many wars for
the next 10 years if not fifty years.
In addition the American deficit, the poor state of US manufacturing,
an appalling system of education, abandon of Civil rights, debasement
of the constitution need serious attention .
The Team of Nancy Pelosi and Colin Powell in their complementarities
can address all these problems.
Together they have the knowledge, they have the experience and intelligence
as well as the backbone to undertake this gigantic task.
These problems should be listed and comparisons with other countries
should be part of this document and of course the solutions should
be provided in this document called :
THE REBUILDING OF THE UNITED STATES
or
THE RENAISSANCE OF THE USA
Eric Lafayette
Email: ericlafayette@fordemocracy.com
Tel: 1 310 500 8771
-------------------------------------
ELECTION 2000, THE PRIMARIES THRILL
At
the beginning of the two primary campaigns in the race for President
for the 2000 Election was exciting. You have two candidates, two
challengers to the establishment, one in the Republican Party, John
McCain, the other in the Democrat Party, Bill Bradley.
There
was the opposition between two heros, one a genuine war hero,
McCain, the other an idol of sports fans, the basketball icon, Bill
Bradley, and the others, stuffed personage with prerecorded messages
built in.
The
two challengers immediately captured the heart of many Americans.
The
phenomenon is extremely difficult to explain, but my personal opinion
is that because these candidates talked and acted with our words,
the words of the majority of the common people, they were viewed
as people like us, only better, people we would have liked to become,
or to have as a son, husband, or father.
It
is thus a strong motivation to vote for somebody like yourself,
but better.
These
challengers had many similarities, but the most striking is the
following:
As
unbelievable as it is, they were doing simple things with no spin;
locating the problem and presenting a straight solution without
the despicable twist, that special interests and so called rightful
politicians put in their words and actions.
They
lifted the hearts of most of the American people.
Bill
Bradley, the Democrat, although his program was quite similar to
Al Gores program, he was able to carry the feeling that he
was working from bottom to top, and I mean, that he had lived a
life aware of low income peoples problems, and minority black
people, who had real life problems, and his concern was genuinely
felt by the people.
John
McCain, who had first hand, as a prisoner of war, endured the total
unfairness and cruelty of a totalitarian dictatorship had the essential
and vital agenda to give Democracy back to the voters by getting
rid of the special interest, which buy and legally bribe a great
part of the Congressmen.
How
much better the United States could have been if any of these two
candidates had been elected.
BACK TO INDEX
-----------------------------
PRIMARY
2000, BITTER FEUD
What
became apparent during the Primaries is the strong antagonism between
the same Party competitors.
In
the Democrat party, the attacks between Bill Bradley and Al Gore
stayed at a relatively decent level, and no lasting hate could be
felt.
In
the Republican Party the story is a little bit more complex and
ugly.
Governor
George Bush did not start very well and lost the two first Primaries
to Senator McCain. He had to win at all cost, not because of his
feelings, but because he had been endorsed by 95% of the Republicans,
Senators, Governors, Representatives, and important persons in the
Republican Party. Governor Bush was their prisoner and he has no
choice but to try to win at all cost.
Governor
Bush demonstrated that using personal attacks on Senator McCain
and Senator McCains friends, was a constant pattern that will
be recognizable during The Primaries, and during his entire political
career, past and future.
What
is also very recognizable and very efficient, is that Governor Bush,
due to the fact that he is a member of the right wing establishment
is using henchmen, such as Reverend Falwell, whos behavior
is more similar to the Muslim war mongers, Ayatollah, than the peaceful
message, Christianity. Many other right wing groups went after Senator
McCain as if he was not a member of their party, but their worst
enemy. All that out-pouring of unfair and horrible attacks on Senator
McCain was done without the name of Governor Bush being linked to
this attack against McCain. It is thus, a formidable and efficient
tool to destroy the enemy without being brought into the battle,
although none of these attacks could have been developed without
Governor Bushs approval, or Governor Bushs campaign
staff approval.
It
is very reveling of the leaders of the Republican Party that they
use all the most despicable means to get their anointed boy from
the Country Club elected.
Their
traditional voters are little by little disappearing, and they know
that the all white supremacy society is disappearing.
Their
traditional voters are a conglomerate of Pat Buchannans racist
followers, and we have to remember that George Bush asked Pat Buchannan
to stay with him, and George Bush went and praised the most racist
university in the United States. George Bush won his primary contest
in the still most racist South, where he got his two largest victories.
Mr
Falwell was the organizer with the Christian coalition of the kickoff
of the campaign at the racist Bob Jones University.
This
last contest is more than ever about racism, a fight between the
racist America, which votes for the Republican leaders and its
majority, and the new multi-racial America, which votes mostly for
Democrat leaders.
BACK
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